The lower mortality risk associated with more daily steps levels off below the popular 10 000 step figure in pooled cohort data: around 6000-8000 steps a day in adults aged 60 and over and around 8000-10 000 in younger adults, with associations already visible at a few thousand steps above the least active level.
Low certainty
Further research is likely to change this.Who this is about
adults in prospective cohort studies
Practical note
Graded low: the shape of the curve and the plateau points come from observational dose-response modelling and differ between meta-analyses (Ding 2025 reported inflection points around 5000-7000 steps a day; Stens 2023 reported significant associations from about 2600 steps a day and the largest reductions around 8800); Ding 2025 noted the lack of age-specific analysis. The 10 000 figure itself was described by Paluch 2022 as having little supporting evidence.
Safety note
Walking is low risk for most adults; people with a heart condition, recent injury or limited mobility usually discuss changes in activity level with a health professional.
Sources
- Supports “As few as about 2,600 and about 2,800 steps/d yield significant mortality and CVD benefits, with progressive risk reductions up to about 8,800 and about 7,200 steps/d, respectively.” (Abstract, Conclusions) Stens NA, Bakker EA, Mañas A, Buffart LM, Ortega FB, Lee DC, Thompson PD, Thijssen DHJ, Eijsvogels TMH. 2023. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. Relationship of Daily Step Counts to All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Events. publisher copyright; metadata and short quotes only; Courtesy of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
- Supports “Restricted cubic splines showed progressively decreasing risk of mortality among adults aged 60 years and older with increasing number of steps per day until 6000-8000 steps per day and among adults younger than 60 years until 8000-10 000 steps per day.” (Abstract, Findings) Paluch AE, Bajpai S, Bassett DR, et al.; Steps for Health Collaborative. 2022. Lancet Public Health. Daily steps and all-cause mortality: a meta-analysis of 15 international cohorts. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 (open access); credit Paluch et al., Lancet Public Health 2022; Courtesy of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
- Supports “Although 10 000 steps per day can still be a viable target for those who are more active, 7000 steps per day is associated with clinically meaningful improvements in health outcomes” (Abstract, Interpretation) Ding D, Nguyen B, Nau T, Luo M, Del Pozo Cruz B, Dempsey PC, et al. 2025. Lancet Public Health. Daily steps and health outcomes in adults: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis. CC BY-NC 4.0 (open access); credit Ding et al., Lancet Public Health 2025; Courtesy of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
- Context “Although 10 000 steps per day is widely promoted to have health benefits, there is little evidence to support this recommendation.” (Abstract, Background) Paluch AE, Bajpai S, Bassett DR, et al.; Steps for Health Collaborative. 2022. Lancet Public Health. Daily steps and all-cause mortality: a meta-analysis of 15 international cohorts. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 (open access); credit Paluch et al., Lancet Public Health 2022; Courtesy of the U.S. National Library of Medicine