An influential 2014 UK cohort reported that people with type 2 diabetes starting metformin lived longer than matched people without diabetes, which fuelled interest in metformin for ageing, but later analyses, including a Danish registry and twin study, did not reproduce that survival advantage and found higher mortality instead.
Low certainty
Further research is likely to change this.Who this is about
adults with type 2 diabetes starting metformin, compared with matched adults without diabetes
Practical note
Graded low: observational cohorts that disagree with each other; a 2025 review attributes the original signal to time-related and selection biases. The Danish study found 1.32 times the mortality after adjustment in singletons and 1.64 times in discordant twin pairs.
Safety note
Metformin is a prescription medicine; these studies say nothing about its use by people without diabetes.
Sources
- Supports “Two explicit replication studies have thus far failed to reproduce the findings demonstrated in Bannister et al. (2014) .” (Section on better survival in type II diabetes than the general population) Keys MT, Hallas J, Miller RA, Suissa S, Christensen K. 2025. Ageing Research Reviews. Emerging uncertainty on the anti-aging potential of metformin. CC BY 4.0; credit Keys et al., Ageing Research Reviews 2025
- Supports “Treatment initiation by metformin monotherapy in Type 2 diabetes was not associated with survival equal or superior to that of the general population without diabetes.” (Abstract, conclusions) Keys MT, Thinggaard M, Larsen LA, Pedersen DA, Hallas J, Christensen K. 2022. International Journal of Epidemiology. Reassessing the evidence of a survival advantage in Type 2 diabetes treated with metformin compared with controls without diabetes: a retrospective cohort study. publisher copyright; metadata and short quotes only; Courtesy of the U.S. National Library of Medicine
- Context “Patients with type 2 diabetes initiated with metformin monotherapy had longer survival than did matched, non-diabetic controls.” (Abstract, conclusions) Bannister CA, Holden SE, Jenkins-Jones S, Morgan CL, Halcox JP, Schernthaner G, Mukherjee J, Currie CJ. 2014. Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism. Can people with type 2 diabetes live longer than those without? A comparison of mortality in people initiated with metformin or sulphonylurea monotherapy and matched, non-diabetic controls. publisher copyright; metadata and short quotes only; Courtesy of the U.S. National Library of Medicine